Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 3 Apr 2024

Perth Glory
1-1 HT 0-1
Sydney
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Perth Glory vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.46
No
55%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
6.85
2-3 Goals
37%
2.17
4-5 Goals
23%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
4.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.85 — our 27% vs market 10.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.79
1/2
4%
18.45
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
10.85
X/2
23%
4.27
X/X
10%
7.31
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
1.93
2/X
6%
14.9
Value flag · X/1 at 10.85 — our 14% vs market 6.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+11.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
64%
-19.8pp
55%
BTTS No
36%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.13/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.29
+17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.5
16.3 Crosses 23.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

Perth Glory vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sydney
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.15 xG 2.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
403 Passes 392
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 2-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
16.04.2023 Sydney Sydney 4-1 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
14.01.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 0-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
12.03.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
22.01.2022 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
07.04.2021 Sydney Sydney 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
1-1
AWAY Sydney
2.48 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
456 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
52 Box Touches 25
37 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory and Sydney couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory had 62% of the ball to Sydney's 38%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 2.48 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perth Glory and 2.17 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Sydney?

Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 33%, draw 21%, Sydney 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ BTTS No
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