Al Sharjah 3-4 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
19%
2.93
6+ Goals
7%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 32% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.9pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.42 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
160 Passes 406
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 6-2 HT 3-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAESK
16.01.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
14.09.2019 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAESK
12.11.2014 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
15.03.2014 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-1 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
3-4
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli edged past Al Sharjah 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Shabab Al Ahli found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 45% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 55%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.60 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Sharjah 3-4 Shabab Al Ahli in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 39%, draw 31%, Shabab Al Ahli 30%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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