Maritzburg United 2-0 Upington City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritzburg United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Upington City EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.38/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritzburg United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Upington City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.12.2023 Upington City Upington City 2-0 HT 1-0 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritzburg United
2-0
AWAY Upington City
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maritzburg United vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritzburg United got the better of Upington City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maritzburg United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Maritzburg United had 55% of the ball to Upington City's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Maritzburg United vs Upington City?

Maritzburg United 2-0 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritzburg United vs Upington City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritzburg United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Maritzburg United 48%, draw 25%, Upington City 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritzburg United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maritzburg United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
3 Apr 2024
16:00 Baroka vs Orbit College Analysis →