Kerala Blasters 2-4 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

Kerala Blasters
2-4 HT 1-1
East Bengal
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No Pick
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
28%
3.4
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
19%
3.49
6+
11%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.36/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.52
+26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.4 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
3W-2D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 Passes 263
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
03.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
07.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
14.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
12.12.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
15.01.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Kerala Blasters 2-4 East Bengal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
2-4
AWAY East Bengal
1.68 xG 2.65
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
302 Passes 494
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal beat Kerala Blasters 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; East Bengal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 39% of the ball to East Bengal's 61%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 1.68 to 2.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerala Blasters and 0.83 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal?

Kerala Blasters 2-4 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 38%, draw 26%, East Bengal 37%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →