Aluminium Arak 1-1 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 3 Apr 2024

Aluminium Arak
1-1 HT 1-1
Havadar
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Aluminium Arak vs Havadar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.75
No
68%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.78
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
12%
8.24
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.1pp
68%
BTTS No
68%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminium Arak v Havadar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 22%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
1.19/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.98
-9% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aluminium Arak vs Havadar Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Havadar
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-2 HT 1-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.01.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.08.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
06.03.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
24.11.2021 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Havadar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Havadar led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.80 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Havadar?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Havadar in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 40%, draw 32%, Havadar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminium Arak), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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