Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 27%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.70
-28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.11.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu S2-B
POST-MATCH Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu and Karacabey Belediye Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 39%, draw 30%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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