Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 4-3 Gümüşhanespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gümüşhanespor EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.23/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.65
-21% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +115%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 166 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Gümüşhanespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor edged past Gümüşhanespor 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Gümüşhanespor?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 4-3 Gümüşhanespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Gümüşhanespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 44%, draw 31%, Gümüşhanespor 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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