Malatya Arguvanspor 2-4 Kepez Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 3 Apr 2024

Malatya Arguvanspor
2-4 HT 1-1
Kepez Belediyespor
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup – 2025/2026

Malatya Arguvanspor vs Kepez Belediyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
65%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.8pp
65%
Away Win
73%
-8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malatya Arguvanspor v Kepez Belediyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malatya Arguvanspor EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kepez Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 77%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +86%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Malatya Arguvanspor vs Kepez Belediyespor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malatya Arguvanspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kepez Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
10.12.2022 Kepez Belediyespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Malatya Arguvanspor Malatya Arguvanspor S3-2
POST-MATCH Malatya Arguvanspor vs Kepez Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kepez Belediyespor saw off Malatya Arguvanspor 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kepez Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Malatya Arguvanspor vs Kepez Belediyespor?

Malatya Arguvanspor 2-4 Kepez Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malatya Arguvanspor vs Kepez Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kepez Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Malatya Arguvanspor 16%, draw 19%, Kepez Belediyespor 65%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kepez Belediyespor) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kepez Belediyespor) ✗ BTTS No
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