Balıkesirspor 4-1 Sebat Gençlik SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.6pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balıkesirspor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balıkesirspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.11.2023 Sebat Gençlik SK Sebat Gençlik SK 2-0 HT 1-0 Balıkesirspor Balıkesirspor S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balıkesirspor
4-1
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Balıkesirspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balıkesirspor ran out comfortable winners over Sebat Gençlik SK 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Balıkesirspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balıkesirspor had 50% of the ball to Sebat Gençlik SK's 50%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of Balıkesirspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Balıkesirspor 4-1 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balıkesirspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sebat Gençlik SK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Balıkesirspor 30%, draw 31%, Sebat Gençlik SK 39%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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