Spartak Trnava 1-0 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.63
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 26%
-69% / -69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Podbrezova
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 401
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
20.08.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
13.05.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
11.03.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 6-1 HT 3-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
16.10.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 3-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
31.07.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
1-0
AWAY Podbrezova
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava nicked a narrow win over Podbrezova 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 44% of the ball to Podbrezova's 56%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova?

Spartak Trnava 1-0 Podbrezova in the Slovakia - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 42%, draw 27%, Podbrezova 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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