Diyarbekir Spor 0-2 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.40/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.14
-71% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diyarbekir Spor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 HT 0-0 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-B
POST-MATCH Diyarbekir Spor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nazilli Belediyespor got the better of Diyarbekir Spor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Diyarbekir Spor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Diyarbekir Spor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Diyarbekir Spor 0-2 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diyarbekir Spor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diyarbekir Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Diyarbekir Spor 51%, draw 27%, Nazilli Belediyespor 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Diyarbekir Spor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diyarbekir Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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