Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.84/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.58
+106% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
02.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-2 HT 2-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
10.09.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
21.08.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
02.03.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
23.09.2018 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.02.2018 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-0 HT 3-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk ran out comfortable winners over Chornomorets Odessa 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.50 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 54%, draw 25%, Chornomorets Odessa 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ BTTS No
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