Ellidi 1-3 Haukar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Haukar win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+13.2pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.0pp
59%
Away Win
80%
-21.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ellidi EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Haukar EU Bookmakers 84%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/5.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.00
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
174 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ellidi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Haukar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4 Total Shots 28
Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 11
13.05.2014 Ellidi Ellidi 0-2 HT 0-1 Haukar Haukar İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ellidi
1-3
AWAY Haukar
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ellidi vs Haukar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haukar beat Ellidi 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haukar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Ellidi had 35% of the ball to Haukar's 65%, shots finished 3-15.

What was the final score of Ellidi vs Haukar?

Ellidi 1-3 Haukar in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ellidi vs Haukar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haukar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ellidi 21%, draw 20%, Haukar 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haukar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haukar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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