Al Najma 1-0 Al Jubail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-11.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.28/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.62
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Jubail
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Al Jubail Al Jubail 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Jubail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Al Jubail 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Jubail?

Al Najma 1-0 Al Jubail in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Jubail?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 47%, draw 29%, Al Jubail 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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