Vipers 1-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
31%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.81
No
58%
1.22
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.5pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
22%
+20.1pp
58%
BTTS No
78%
-20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.02/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.02
+15% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +81%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
26.09.2024 Lugazi Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
1-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers edged past Lugazi Municipal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Vipers had 69% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 31%, shots finished 27-4.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Lugazi Municipal?

Vipers 1-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vipers 51%, draw 32%, Lugazi Municipal 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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