Yverdon 5-2 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.07
Over
54%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.69
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
22%
2.98
6+
16%
9.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.69 — our 24% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Yverdon The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona The Market 17%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.01 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.04
1.02 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.78
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.9 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.81 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
500 Passes 185
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2026 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-4 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
19.10.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 2-0 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
26.08.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
21.04.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
29.01.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
22.10.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-2 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
5-2
AWAY Bellinzona
2.79 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
454 Passes 364
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Yverdon vs Bellinzona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Yverdon dismantled Bellinzona 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yverdon as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.82, roughly 55%.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Yverdon's favour, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.79 to 0.80.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yverdon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Yverdon against 0.50 for Bellinzona.

Yverdon vs Bellinzona Result & Final Score

Yverdon 5-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Yverdon vs Bellinzona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 68%, draw 17%, Bellinzona 15%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yverdon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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