Jihlava 3-3 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jihlava EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -22%
1.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.26
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jihlava
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 1-2 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
19.04.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 7-2 HT 2-1 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
16.09.2022 Jihlava Jihlava 1-2 HT 1-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
14.05.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
23.07.2021 Jihlava Jihlava 2-1 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
05.05.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-1 HT 0-0 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jihlava
3-3
AWAY Varnsdorf
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jihlava vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jihlava and Varnsdorf couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jihlava had 41% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 59%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jihlava and 2.33 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Jihlava vs Varnsdorf?

Jihlava 3-3 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jihlava vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jihlava win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jihlava 36%, draw 30%, Varnsdorf 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jihlava), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jihlava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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