Getafe 0-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 May 2024

Getafe
0-2 HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 39% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.76
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
13%
7.0
X/2
12%
4.44
X/X
15%
3.66
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.02
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.14/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.02
-31% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.0 Crosses 20.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 Passes 362
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-2 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
01.04.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
18.10.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
18.03.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
06.12.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
25.01.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 5-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1

Getafe 0-2 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
0-2
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
4.64 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
34 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
423 Passes 209
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
52 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao saw off Getafe 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Athletic Bilbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 64% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 36%, shots finished 34-7, expected goals 4.64 to 0.62 — on chances, Getafe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Getafe and 1.67 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao?

Getafe 0-2 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Getafe 31%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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