Palestino 3-1 Copiapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Copiapo EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.65/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.46
+27% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.6 Crosses 16.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Copiapo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.75 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 0-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
11.02.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-3 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
3-1
AWAY Copiapo
2.06 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
367 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Copiapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino beat Copiapo 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Palestino had 57% of the ball to Copiapo's 43%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.06 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Palestino and 0.50 for Copiapo.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Copiapo?

Palestino 3-1 Copiapo in the Chile - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Copiapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Palestino 50%, draw 26%, Copiapo 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →