Arabi 3-1 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.7pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.96/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.05
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
12.03.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
30.10.2022 Arabi 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
23.01.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-0 HT 0-0 Arabi BAE2
08.10.2021 Arabi 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi beat Al Thaid 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arabi and 0.60 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Thaid?

Arabi 3-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arabi 48%, draw 25%, Al Thaid 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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