Vendsyssel FF 2-4 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.82
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
9%
5.75
X/2
10%
5.51
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
2/2
20%
3.59
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.93
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
24.1 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.00 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 243
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
16.02.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF HAZ
12.11.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
23.08.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
11.05.2021 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
23.04.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-1 HT 1-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
2-4
AWAY Kolding IF
1.97 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
337 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF got the better of Vendsyssel FF 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kolding IF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 52% of the ball to Kolding IF's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.97 to 0.93 — on chances, Vendsyssel FF could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 0.33 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Kolding IF?

Vendsyssel FF 2-4 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 37%, draw 27%, Kolding IF 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vendsyssel FF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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