Holbaek 1-1 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
38%
3.35
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.3pp
38%
Draw
26%
+11.6pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.94/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.41
+27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Avarta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 1-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
25.08.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
03.11.2019 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN2
22.09.2019 Avarta Avarta 2-2 HT 1-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
20.09.2015 Avarta Avarta 1-1 HT 0-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
22.05.2015 Avarta Avarta 1-1 HT 0-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holbaek
1-1
AWAY Avarta
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek and Avarta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 38% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Holbaek had 53% of the ball to Avarta's 47%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avarta led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Holbaek and 1.17 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Avarta?

Holbaek 1-1 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 34%, draw 38%, Avarta 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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