Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 May 2024

Nomme JK Kalju
4-2 HT 3-2
JK Tammeka Tartu
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nomme JK Kalju v JK Tammeka Tartu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.06/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.65
+13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-2D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
16.04.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.10.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-0 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
21.08.2022 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1

Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju beat JK Tammeka Tartu 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 54% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 46%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.33 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 52%, draw 24%, JK Tammeka Tartu 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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