VPS 3-0 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 3 May 2024

VPS
3-0 HT 0-0
FC Lahti
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
19%
3.81
X/2
11%
10.7
X/X
9%
5.73
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
7%
8.21
2/X
5%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.55/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
-21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.1 Crosses 20.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 0.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
382 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
05.04.2023 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
28.09.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
20.08.2022 VPS VPS 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
08.04.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-5 HT 0-3 VPS VPS FİN
20.09.2019 VPS VPS 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
3-0
AWAY FC Lahti
3.58 xG 0.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
364 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH VPS vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS cruised past FC Lahti 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, VPS had 57% of the ball to FC Lahti's 43%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 3.58 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for VPS and 0.83 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of VPS vs FC Lahti?

VPS 3-0 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split VPS 54%, draw 21%, FC Lahti 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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