Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.89
+24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.10.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
03.06.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
02.07.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
19.03.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP and Siheung Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.50 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 31%, draw 33%, Siheung Citizen 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Siheung Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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