Vukovar 0-1 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.73/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.05
-4% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 3-1 HT 1-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
0-1
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete nicked a narrow win over Vukovar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vukovar had 63% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 37%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Radnik Sesvete?

Vukovar 0-1 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 51%, draw 23%, Radnik Sesvete 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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