Watford U21 2-2 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.14
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
16%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.6pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.5pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.0pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.25/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+39% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Watford U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford U21 and Burnley U21 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Watford U21 vs Burnley U21?

Watford U21 2-2 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Watford U21 34%, draw 19%, Burnley U21 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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