Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+33% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) beat Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 43%, draw 24%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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