Leevon / PPK 0-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

Leevon / PPK
0-1
Super Nova
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leevon / PPK v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova nicked a narrow win over Leevon / PPK 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova?

Leevon / PPK 0-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 22%, draw 22%, Super Nova 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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