ADT 2-0 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.60/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.11
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.8 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Universitario
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.99
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
132 Passes 324
58% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2023 ADT ADT 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
19.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
21.08.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
05.04.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-0
AWAY Universitario
2.13 xG 0.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
417 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADT vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT saw off Universitario 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, ADT had 60% of the ball to Universitario's 40%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.13 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for ADT and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of ADT vs Universitario?

ADT 2-0 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split ADT 42%, draw 29%, Universitario 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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