Danubio 1-1 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.41
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2021 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
06.11.2019 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
14.03.2015 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-2 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
06.09.2014 Danubio Danubio 5-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-1
AWAY Rampla Juniors
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Rampla Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Danubio had 46% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 54%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Danubio and 0.50 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Rampla Juniors?

Danubio 1-1 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Danubio 47%, draw 29%, Rampla Juniors 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5
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3 May 2024
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