Lecce U20 1-1 Empoli U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.6
No
35%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-7.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+7.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
58%
+6.3pp
35%
BTTS No
42%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.80/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.14
+0% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Empoli U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Empoli U20 Empoli U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Lecce U20 vs Empoli U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U20 and Empoli U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lecce U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Lecce U20 vs Empoli U20?

Lecce U20 1-1 Empoli U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U20 vs Empoli U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lecce U20 44%, draw 24%, Empoli U20 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lecce U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecce U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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