San Martin Tucuman 2-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
34%
2.89
Away
18%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
47%
4-5
11%
6+
1%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
2%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME San Martin Tucuman The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Atletico Rafaela The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
0.61 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
04.07.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
14.12.2020 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
20.10.2019 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
REVIEW San Martin Tucuman vs Atletico Rafaela
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

San Martin Tucuman shaded a tight game against Atletico Rafaela 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%) never looked like landing.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 1.33 for Atletico Rafaela.

San Martin Tucuman vs Atletico Rafaela Result & Final Score

San Martin Tucuman 2 - 1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

San Martin Tucuman vs Atletico Rafaela Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 48%, draw 34%, Atletico Rafaela 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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