Kaspyi 1-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.91
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.74
No
44%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaspyi The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana The Market 56%
-17% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
0.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.73
-37% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaspyi
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Astana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.07.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
24.06.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 3-1 HT 2-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
10.09.2022 Kaspyi Kaspyi 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
22.04.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 4-0 HT 3-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
22.09.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
21.08.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 3-3 HT 2-2 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZKK
REVIEW Kaspyi vs FC Astana
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kaspyi found just enough to beat FC Astana 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kaspyi and 2.67 for FC Astana.

Kaspyi vs FC Astana Result & Final Score

Kaspyi 1-0 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kaspyi vs FC Astana Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kaspyi 18%, draw 28%, FC Astana 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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