Hönefoss BK 3-1 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 3 May 2026

Hönefoss BK
3-1 HT 0-1
Trygg/Lade
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2026

Hönefoss BK vs Trygg/Lade Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
11%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.97
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.4
6+ Goals
10%
4.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.97 — our 30% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
11%
Away Win
14%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.7pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hönefoss BK v Trygg/Lade — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.80/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0

Hönefoss BK 3-1 Trygg/Lade — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hönefoss BK
3-1
AWAY Trygg/Lade
53% Ball Possession 47%
27 Total Shots 20
11 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK saw off Trygg/Lade 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hönefoss BK had 53% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 47%, shots finished 27-20.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Trygg/Lade?

Hönefoss BK 3-1 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 2nd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 66%, draw 23%, Trygg/Lade 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✗ BTTS No
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