Lilleström II 3-2 Finnsnes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.25
No
40%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
76%
-16.1pp
40%
BTTS No
24%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Finnsnes EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström II
3-2
AWAY Finnsnes
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Finnsnes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II edged past Finnsnes 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lilleström II had 52% of the ball to Finnsnes's 48%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Finnsnes?

Lilleström II 3-2 Finnsnes in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Finnsnes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 45%, draw 30%, Finnsnes 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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