Gabes 0-2 Kairouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.44
Over 2.5
46%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.75
No
53%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.9
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
51%
1.77
4-5 Goals
12%
6.19
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.77 — our 51% vs market 46.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
59%
Away Win
59%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
66%
-11.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
34%
+11.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.7pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairouan EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
180 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 529 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabes
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kairouan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2025 Kairouan Kairouan 2-1 HT 2-0 Gabes Gabes TUN1
02.04.2023 Gabes Gabes 2-1 HT 1-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN2
19.11.2022 Kairouan Kairouan 3-1 HT 2-1 Gabes Gabes TUN2
POST-MATCH Gabes vs Kairouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairouan beat Gabes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kairouan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kairouan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gabes and 2.00 for Kairouan.

What was the final score of Gabes vs Kairouan?

Gabes 0-2 Kairouan in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs Kairouan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairouan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gabes 20%, draw 21%, Kairouan 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairouan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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