KR Reykjavik 3-5 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.32
No
31%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-2.2pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
2.29/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.51
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
25.7 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Valur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.59 xG 2.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
305 Passes 368
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
31.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-4 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
07.05.2023 Valur Valur 5-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
12.02.2023 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
08.10.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
25.07.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
3-5
AWAY Valur
0.91 xG 2.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 4
297 Passes 188
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur saw off KR Reykjavik 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Valur found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 58% of the ball to Valur's 42%, shots finished 18-26, expected goals 0.91 to 2.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KR Reykjavik and 2.83 for Valur.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Valur?

KR Reykjavik 3-5 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 34%, draw 26%, Valur 40%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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