Quilmes 1-4 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.26/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.17
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
25.06.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.02.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-3 HT 2-2 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
01.03.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
14.12.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
07.12.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste ran out comfortable winners over Quilmes 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Ferro Carril Oeste made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Quilmes had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Quilmes and 0.80 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Quilmes 1-4 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 35%, draw 35%, Ferro Carril Oeste 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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