FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 Niva Dolbizno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+58% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 5-2 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
09.04.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
1-1
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Niva Dolbizno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk and Niva Dolbizno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Volna Pinsk had 47% of the ball to Niva Dolbizno's 53%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 2.50 for Niva Dolbizno.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Niva Dolbizno?

FC Volna Pinsk 1-1 Niva Dolbizno in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Niva Dolbizno?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 41%, draw 26%, Niva Dolbizno 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
3 Jun 2024
16:00 Torpedo BelAZ II vs Dnepr Rogachev Analysis →