Akwa United 2-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akwa United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.81/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.65
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
493 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akwa United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Heartland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.02.2022 Akwa United Akwa United 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
10.06.2021 Akwa United Akwa United 3-1 HT 2-1 Heartland Heartland NIJ
24.01.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-1 HT 0-1 Akwa United Akwa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akwa United
2-0
AWAY Heartland
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akwa United vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akwa United saw off Heartland 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Akwa United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Akwa United had 64% of the ball to Heartland's 36%, shots finished 25-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Akwa United and 1.00 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Akwa United vs Heartland?

Akwa United 2-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akwa United vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akwa United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Akwa United 58%, draw 24%, Heartland 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akwa United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Akwa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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