03/06/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
28%
Draw
20%
15%
Away Win
18%
36%
Under 2.5
24%
64%
Over 2.5
76%
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
39%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spjelkavik v Kristiansund II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Spjelkavik
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kristiansund II
EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
2.88/0.74
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.51/1.57
+14%
/
+74%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+4%
/
+51%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
426 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Spjelkavik swept aside Kristiansund II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spjelkavik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund II?
Spjelkavik 4-0 Kristiansund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spjelkavik 57%, draw 28%, Kristiansund II 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spjelkavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Spjelkavik)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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