Marin 2-2 Monterey Bay II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-13.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marin EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay II EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marin vs Monterey Bay II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marin and Monterey Bay II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monterey Bay II at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Marin vs Monterey Bay II?

Marin 2-2 Monterey Bay II in the USA - USL League 2 on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marin vs Monterey Bay II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterey Bay II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Marin 23%, draw 20%, Monterey Bay II 56%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterey Bay II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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