Cuniburo FC 1-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.14/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-35% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.6 Crosses 15.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
1-0
AWAY Libertad
1.52 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
298 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC nicked a narrow win over Libertad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cuniburo FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 46% of the ball to Libertad's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.52 to 2.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Libertad.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Libertad?

Cuniburo FC 1-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuniburo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 41%, draw 30%, Libertad 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuniburo FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cuniburo FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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