Gualaceo 1-0 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 3 Jun 2026

📅03/06/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.6pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualaceo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualaceo
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Gualaceo Gualaceo 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
05.03.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-1 HT 1-1 Gualaceo Gualaceo EKV1
28.08.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 2-0 Gualaceo Gualaceo EKV1
16.04.2022 Gualaceo Gualaceo 3-2 HT 3-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualaceo
1-0
AWAY Mushuc Runa
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gualaceo vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualaceo nicked a narrow win over Mushuc Runa 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gualaceo had 54% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 46%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gualaceo and 1.50 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Gualaceo vs Mushuc Runa?

Gualaceo 1-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Cup on 03/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualaceo vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gualaceo 31%, draw 24%, Mushuc Runa 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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