Haiti 4-0 Yeni Zelanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jun 2026

📅03/06/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.51
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
14%
5.89
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.53
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haiti EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haiti
4-0
AWAY Yeni Zelanda
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
357 Passes 346
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Haiti vs Yeni Zelanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haiti cruised past Yeni Zelanda 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Haiti found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Haiti had 51% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Haiti vs Yeni Zelanda?

Haiti 4-0 Yeni Zelanda in the Friendlies on 03/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haiti vs Yeni Zelanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Haiti 39%, draw 28%, Yeni Zelanda 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haiti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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