Lake Macquarie 1-4 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
70%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
49%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
9%
+5.5pp
16%
Draw
13%
+2.9pp
69%
Away Win
78%
-8.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.2pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 84%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.68/3.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
-47% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lake Macquarie
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 5-2 HT 3-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
11.03.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
26.06.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 2-3 HT 2-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
05.04.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-1 HT 0-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
10.07.2021 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-3 HT 1-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
24.04.2021 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 3-2 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lake Macquarie vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic cruised past Lake Macquarie 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lake Macquarie and 2.67 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Lake Macquarie vs Newcastle Olympic?

Lake Macquarie 1-4 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lake Macquarie vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Lake Macquarie 14%, draw 16%, Newcastle Olympic 69%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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