Goias 2-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.09
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 38% vs market 35.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.0pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.43/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.06
+36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.2 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-3D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
259 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2023 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
13.08.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
27.10.2022 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
04.07.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
19.08.2017 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
20.05.2017 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
2-1
AWAY America Mineiro
0.65 xG 0.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
264 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Goias vs America Mineiro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Goias edged past America Mineiro 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie B on 3 Jul 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 37%.

On the day, Goias had 43% of the ball to America Mineiro's 57%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.37.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Goias and 0.83 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Goias vs America Mineiro?

Goias 2-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Goias 45%, draw 30%, America Mineiro 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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