Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.44
Over 2.5
50%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.7pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
66%
-15.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
34%
+15.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 43%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.72
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
2-1
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena nicked a narrow win over Ethiopia Bunna 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 38% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 62%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 31%, draw 25%, Ethiopia Bunna 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ BTTS Yes
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