Vaajakoski 2-2 Klubi-04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.61
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
1.99
No
75%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.93
2-3 Goals
49%
2.06
4-5 Goals
17%
2.58
6+ Goals
7%
5.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.93 — our 27% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
7%
+10.5pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.7pp
62%
Away Win
79%
-16.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.2pp
25%
BTTS Yes
46%
-20.8pp
75%
BTTS No
54%
+20.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaajakoski EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 84%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vaajakoski vs Klubi-04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaajakoski and Klubi-04 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Klubi-04 at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (75%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Vaajakoski vs Klubi-04?

Vaajakoski 2-2 Klubi-04 in the FİN3 on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaajakoski vs Klubi-04?

Before kick-off our model rated an Klubi-04 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vaajakoski 18%, draw 20%, Klubi-04 62%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Klubi-04) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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